Crystal Ball Gazing: What NCAA Conferences Will Look Like in 2016

 

You know what is almost as fun as being angry? Speculating wildly. The B1G is expanding east with the additions of Maryland and Rutgers (can we now name the divisions “East” and “West” and get rid of that ridiculous logo?). This won’t be the end of conference realignment, and somebody has to put the rest of the pieces together without knowing anything, so why not me? As I said when this whole game of musical chairs started, the end-game will be four 16-team super conferences, and here is how I wish it would play out.

First, the ACC will fill the void left by the loss of Maryland with a basketball school from rotting corpse that is the Big East, for arguments sake, I’ll say UConn. That will leave 5 conferences worth talking about, The ACC, B1G and SEC at 14 members, the Pac 12 at 12 and the Big 12 at 10.

I can’t imagine many schools jumping at the chance to join the economic imbalance that is the Big 12 and Longhorn Network, in fact, I imagine more schools eventually caving and defecting. This is really the Pac 12’s only chance for meaningful expansion, so look for them to be courting Texas Tech and the Oklahoma schools hard. If one of them cracks, it’s over for the Big 12. At the end of the day, the Pac 16 adds BYU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech.

The addition of UConn is great for the ACC basketball conference, but predominantly football schools will now be looking for an out. The SEC will poach two, I’ll say Florida State and Miami (or Clemson, take your pick) for arguments sake to get themselves to 16. The Big 10 will take two more, I’ll say Virginia Tech and Boston College (because Georgia Tech is too far away, and Boston is the kind of market the B1G would target).

Now down to 10 schools, the ACC takes their pick at the remaining Big 12/Big East schools as they free fall into mediocrity/irrelevance, (sans Texas, who becomes an independent, with a sweetheart deal similar to that of Notre Dame). They net losses of Boston College, Florida State, Maryland, Miami, and Virginia Tech and gains of Baylor, Cincinnati, Kansas, Kansas State, Louisville, UConn, and West Virginia.

That leaves the conferences as follows:

ACC

B1G

Pac 12

SEC

Baylor Boston College Arizona Alabama
Cincinnati Illinois Arizona State Arkansas
Clemson Indiana BYU Auburn
Connecticut Iowa California Florida
Duke Maryland Colorado Florida State
Georgia Tech Michigan Oklahoma Georgia
Kansas Michigan State Oklahoma State Kentucky
Kansas State Minnesota Oregon LSU
Louisville Nebraska Oregon State Miami
NC State Northwestern Stanford Mississippi
North Carolina Ohio State Texas Tech Mississippi State
Pitt Penn State UCLA Missouri
Syracuse Purdue USC South Carolina
Virginia Rutgers Utah Tennessee
Wake Forest Virginia Tech Washington Texas A&M
West Virginia Wisconsin Washington State Vanderbilt

 

With this college football is forced to expand to an 8 team playoff, with auto-bids for the winners of each of these conferences and four at-large bids to appease the likes of Texas and Notre Dame. I’m on board with this, see you in January 2017.

2 Responses to “Crystal Ball Gazing: What NCAA Conferences Will Look Like in 2016”

  1. James Dotson November 21, 2012 at 10:23 am #

    Couldn’t agree more with all of this…my only argument MIGHT be that the Mountain West could survive and take away Big12 teams instead of the pac12. I can see TxTech, Boise, etc ending up in the new BCS conference of the MtnWest. Welcome to the era of the superconference.

    • Tappe November 21, 2012 at 11:07 am #

      I could see that Peach, but as I just noted here: http://www.360sportsnetwork.com/2012/11/he-said-he-said-state-of-big-ten.html (I swear I wrote that before I knew you wrote here [in hopes of getting you to come read this, haha]) I think conference expansion will be all about expanding the Conference Television Network footprint, The Pac 12 would have to be asleep at the wheel to not move in on Big 12 territory, because nobody else really gives them any benefit (without ridiculous Big East-esque expansion into ACC territory). It sucks for teams like Boise, who have a better program than over half of the teams I listed above, but don’t bring a big audience with them. The business of college sports sucks.

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